2024 Masters Breakdown #3 — Someone Has Clinched

Here’s my latest Masters Breakdown, after Games #5 & #6!

Episode #4, By The Prediction Model:

Here’s how the prediction model rates Friday’s games:

Game 1:

Player	Win %	Second %	Third %
Matt Amodio (42-12)	39.901%	28.968%	31.131%
Amy Schneider (47-16)	34.915%	34.335%	30.750%
Mattea Roach (25-14)	25.184%	36.697%	38.119%

Game 2:

Player	Win %	Second %	Third %
Victoria Groce (8-2)	33.061%	33.619%	33.320%
Yogesh Raut (10-5)	25.397%	38.263%	36.340%
James Holzhauer (47-7)	41.542%	28.118%	30.340%

My friends over at Geeks Who Drink have introduced a daily trivia game—Thrice! Existing to make daily clever trivia content accessible to a wide audience, it's a daily challenge that tries to get you to the answer via three separate clues. It has a shareable score functionality to challenge your friends and new questions every day will give you a new daily social ritual. You can find it at thricegame.com.

Are you going on the show and looking for information about how to bet in Final Jeopardy? Check out my Betting Strategy 101 page. If you want to learn how to bet in two-day finals, check out Betting Strategy 102. In case the show uses a tournament with wild cards in the future, there is also a strategy page for betting in tournament quarterfinals.

Are you looking for information on how to stream Jeopardy! in 2024? Find out information here on how to stream from most places in North America!

Do you appreciate the work I do here on The Jeopardy! Fan? Would you like to make a one-time contribution to the site? You may do so here!

You can find game-by-game stats here at The Jeopardy! Fan of all 17 players, now including Adriana Harmeyer, that have won 10 or more games on Jeopardy!

You can now listen to Alex Trebek-hosted Jeopardy! episodes from TuneIn Radio without leaving The Jeopardy! Fan — listen now!

Victoria Has Clinched

Yes, Victoria has clinched a spot in the semifinals; basically, there’s no way at least 2 of Matt, Amy, and Mattea can pick up the 8 points necessary to overtake Victoria in the standings. Her dominating of the signaling device—her 55% success rate is significantly clear of everyone else in the field—has led to her 0-for-3 performance in Final Jeopardy thus far being immaterial. I also don’t see Victoria taking her foot off the gas even though she’s clinched at this point.

James Will Be Fine

I’m sure a few James fans are in a bit of a panic at the moment, with James being in just third place behind Victoria and Yogesh. However, he has been playing well enough, and I would be very shocked if he were not to make the semifinals at this point.

Game #1 Is Must Win—For All 3 Players

With Matt, Amy, and Mattea playing first, and there being a clear divide between the top and bottom 3 players at this point, this makes today’s game a must-win game for all 3. A huge advantage will go to the winner of this one; they’ll be on 4 points, with the 2 players behind on 2 and 1 respectively.

I Liked Amy’s Final Jeopardy Wager Yesterday

I just wanted to bring this up, because I mentioned this in the other direction last month: Amy made a standard cover bet over Matt Amodio in Final Jeopardy last night. I was very glad to see this; it gives me hope that Amy has gotten the hang of strategy, and that might be crucial in a game like Friday’s opener tomorrow night.

We have many new offerings at The Jeopardy! Fan Online Store! Here are our current featured items, including our new Masters Season 3 Player List T-shirt:

Game #2 Is Probably A Finals Preview

Victoria Groce, Yogesh Raut, and James Holzhauer have easily been the top 3 players. Now, in the nightcap on Friday, we get to see the three of them face off against each other. Honestly, the stats have been close enough that I think it’s a little bit difficult to call. It’s probably going to come down to whoever finds the Daily Doubles. (As has the rest of the tournament, in all honestly).

In Closing

I’m really looking forward to Friday’s games. I hope you are, too!