Quick Recap & Today’s Final Jeopardy – April 12, 2017

13 Comments on "Quick Recap & Today’s Final Jeopardy – April 12, 2017"

1. Andy Saunders | April 12, 2017 at 1:27 pm |

   Scores going into Final:
   Greg $14,400
   Jane $8,800
   Trevor $8,600

   Final results:
   Trevor $8,600 – $2,600 = $6,000 (What is the Exorcist?)
   Jane $8,800 + $8,602 = $17,402 (1-day total: $17,402)
   Greg $14,400 – $3,201 = $11,199 (What is the Texas Chainsaw Massacre?)

   Scores after the Jeopardy! Round:
   Trevor $3,000
   Jane $2,400
   Greg $1,000

   Opening break taken after: 15 clues

   Daily Double locations:
   1) HOW DO YOU… $600 (5th pick)
   Greg 1000 -1000 (Jane 800 Trevor 200)
   —
   2) SHAKESPEARE IS KILLING ME $1200 (3rd pick)
   Jane 4000 +2000 (Trevor 4200 Greg -600)
   3) WE SALUTE YOU $1600 (24th pick, $6,000 left on board)
   Greg 10200 +1000 (Jane 8800 Trevor 7800)

   Unplayed clues:
   J! round: HAPPY 70th, DAVID LETTERMAN $200 & $1000
   DJ! round: None!
   $ Left on Board: $1200

   Game Stats:
   Jane $8,000 Coryat, 9 correct, 1 incorrect, 12.73% in first on buzzer
   Greg $16,000 Coryat, 20 correct, 4 incorrect, 38.18% in first on buzzer
   Trevor $8,600 Coryat, 18 correct, 3 incorrect, 36.36% in first on buzzer
   Lach Trash: $12,200 (on 10 Triple Stumpers)
   Coryat lost to incorrect responses (less double-correct responses): $8,000

   Greg Chin, final stats:
   63 correct
   13 incorrect
   1/2 on Daily Doubles (Net Earned: $0)
   1/3 in Final Jeopardy
   42.59% in first on buzzer (69/162)
   Average Coryat: $15,666

   Jane Joseph, stats to date:
   10 correct
   1 incorrect
   1/1 on Daily Doubles (Net Earned: $2,000)
   1/1 in Final Jeopardy
   12.73% in first on buzzer (7/55)
   Average Coryat: $8,000

   Jane Joseph, to win:
   2 games: 26.64%
   3: 7.10%
   4: 1.89%
   5: 0.50%
   6: 0.13%
   Avg. streak: 1.363 games.
   Avg. Total Winnings (including possible ToC): $26,385

   ToC projection update:
   With a projected 87 regular-play games to go prior to the Tournament of Champions cutoff, after 250,000 simulations, our model shows:
   An average of 3.1894 5+-time champions (standard deviation 1.3852).
   An average of 4.9218 4+-time champions (standard deviation 1.6905).

   An early cutoff took place 16.816% of the time (or a 5-game winner will be left out).

   Tim Kutz qualified 57.766% of the time.
   Todd Giese qualified 18.535% of the time.
   Rob Liguori qualified 3.891% of the time.
   Fred Vaughn qualified 0.745% of the time.

   (Note: Due to the possibility of a WGA strike, I feel that it is more accurate for ToC projections to add 20 games to the end of the previous projected qualifying period.)

   Miscellany:

   • Thank you to Jay Johnson for providing me with a full chart of this game.
   • Over the final 21 clues of Double Jeopardy, Greg got 12 of them correct, Trevor 5, Jane 0.
2. john blahuta | April 12, 2017 at 2:07 pm |

   I am usually wary of extreme predictions, like 3/3 or 0/3. Usually one player manages to screw up even the easiest clue and v.v. somebody has heard or read the solution of a really tough one, maybe even on the way to the game, in a magazine on the plane etc…only once in her/his life, but there is always the possibility of a weird coincidence. You have no idea about something and then just before the game you get to know about it by coincidence…
   But the three “6”s in today’s clue also feature prominently in the original movie with Peck. So I am going out on a limb and predict that all 3 players (or how many are left for FJ) will get it.

3. john blahuta | April 12, 2017 at 5:28 pm |

   Shows how much I know….

   • Andy Saunders | April 12, 2017 at 5:54 pm |

     Let’s put it this way: I had never heard of “The Omen”. I matched Greg.

   • Frank Smith | April 12, 2017 at 6:43 pm |

     I’ve also never heard of that movie. I went with “A Nightmare on Elm Street” just to say something.

     • Dave | April 13, 2017 at 9:10 am |

       The key clue with “The Omen” was the fact that both premiere dates ended in 6/6/6.

4. Alex Epstein | April 12, 2017 at 10:36 pm |

   I think now it’s starting to come time to start thinking about streaks of futility of amount of games without a 3 timer. We haven’t had a 3 timer since Grant back on March 17 and it’s been 18 consecutive games since then.

   • Andy Saunders | April 12, 2017 at 11:33 pm |

     We’re nowhere close to any of the streaks that Keith Williams spoke of on The Final Wager, though. ¯\_(ツ)_/¯

     • john blahuta | April 12, 2017 at 11:43 pm |

       Still, somehow we seem to be in a pattern where more than one win – leave alone more than two – is hard to come by….Ken Jennings, where art thou??

       • Dal Higbee | April 13, 2017 at 11:35 am |

         The Final Wager is retiring. It looks like Keith Williams isn’t doing anymore videos or recaps.

5. Grumpy | April 13, 2017 at 11:23 am |

   I don’t watch Jeopardy! until 7 p.m. Pacific Time. I noticed that “International Symbols” is in parentheses for April 13th. I’m assuming that’s the Final Jeopardy! category for today’s game (I’m always a game behind). If so, I would appreciate it if you didn’t post it. I don’t like to have any clue as to the Final until I see it in “real time.” Knowing the category beforehand gives me an unfair advantage because I have all day to brainstorm before the answer is revealed. Not knowing gives me a more accurate picture of how I’d stack up against the players if I were a contestant. Thanks. Keep up the good work, Andy

   • Andy Saunders | April 13, 2017 at 12:12 pm |

     I’ll keep that in mind. I’m doing some testing to see its effect on organic traffic.

     • Grumpy | April 13, 2017 at 11:08 pm |

       Organic traffic? Very mysterious. You’re a riddle, wrapped in a mystery, inside an enigma, Andy…