2019 Tournament of Champions – Finals Predictions

We are now down to three in the 2019 Tournament of Champions. The Jeopardy! Fan has taken its initial data from before the quarterfinals, has combined it with quarterfinal and semifinal performances, and has run the prediction model 500,000 times in order to create these predictions.

Thursday, November 14 & Friday, November 15, 2019:
Francois Barcomb
New Paltz, New York
Francois Barcomb on Jeopardy!

140 correct, 11 incorrect
9/10 on rebound attempts (on 28 rebound opportunities)
36.58% in first on buzzer (124/339)
6/10 on Daily Doubles (Net Earned: $15,500)
5/6 in Final Jeopardy
Average Coryat: $21,333
1st: 9.593% of the time.
2nd: 45.684% of the time.
3rd: 44.722% of the time.
Andy’s Thoughts: Francois is, as of right now, probably the most underrated of the three finalists; he’s been very successful with the aggressive betting so far. If he keeps that going and the Daily Doubles break the right way, he could very well pull out this tournament.
James Holzhauer
Las Vegas, Nevada
James Holzhauer on Jeopardy!

1,247 correct, 39 incorrect
37/40 on rebound attempts (on 73 rebound opportunities)
57.26% in first on buzzer (1132/1977)
75/79 on Daily Doubles (Net Earned: $665,591)
33/35 in Final Jeopardy
Average Coryat: $30,366
1st: 76.409% of the time.
2nd: 13.895% of the time.
3rd: 9.696% of the time.
Andy’s Thoughts: James is the prohibitive favorite here, but his not-quite-as-strong semifinal performance brings him back to the field slightly. Over a two-game total-point affair, though, James is more likely to lose by getting things incorrect than by losing in the same fashion as his regular-season loss.
Emma Boettcher
Chicago, Illinois
Emma Boettcher on Jeopardy!

149 correct, 9 incorrect
4/4 on rebound attempts (on 18 rebound opportunities)
38.53% in first on buzzer (131/340)
7/7 on Daily Doubles (Net Earned: $29,200)
4/6 in Final Jeopardy
Average Coryat: $19,200
1st: 13.998% of the time.
2nd: 40.421% of the time.
3rd: 45.581% of the time.
Andy’s Thoughts: If anyone has can beat James, it’s the person who has already done so straight-up. Over two games, though, Emma’s going to need aggressive gameplay to win this tournament, but she’s certainly capable of pulling off a second victory over James.
Andy’s “Roll it once” prediction: The Daily Doubles break the way of the challengers on Day 1 in order to set up a very tense Day 2, but James pulls out the victory.

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3 Comments on "2019 Tournament of Champions – Finals Predictions"

  1. Chris Stratton | November 14, 2019 at 4:07 am | Reply

    Would be fun if it plays out the way you scenarise, Andy. I suspect James wins by a solid margin, though not in runway fashion.

  2. Jason Sterlacci | November 14, 2019 at 9:42 am | Reply

    Francois all the way. Teachers Tourney represent.

  3. His aggressive style of play has always served James well.
    The real unknown here is Lady Luck, in the form of who finds the DDs.
    I want James to win and surpass Ken Jennings.
    Let’s just not have any of those “what was THAT about?” bets in Final Jeopardy!

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