Of the nearly 300 contenders for the crown that appeared in regular play in Seasons 40 and early 41, we are now down to 3 players in the 32nd Tournament of Champions. Here are your three finalists in this first-to-3-win finals:
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Adriana Harmeyer (1) West Lafayette, Indiana  399 correct, 44 incorrect 22/26 on rebound attempts (on 68 rebound opportunities) 37.11% in first on buzzer (380/1024) 13/19 on Daily Doubles (Net Earned: $22,000) 15/18 in Final Jeopardy Average Coryat: $16,267 |
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Isaac Hirsch (2) Burbank, California  328 correct, 54 incorrect 19/24 on rebound attempts (on 49 rebound opportunities) 47.44% in first on buzzer (324/683) 14/22 on Daily Doubles (Net Earned: $1,600) 9/12 in Final Jeopardy Average Coryat: $20,067 |
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Neilesh Vinjamuri (17) Lionville, Pennsylvania  138 correct, 15 incorrect 9/10 on rebound attempts (on 35 rebound opportunities) 37.72% in first on buzzer (129/342) 7/8 on Daily Doubles (Net Earned: $10,500) 3/6 in Final Jeopardy Average Coryat: $18,133 |
Overall Thoughts: Overall, Neilesh has done slightly better on Daily Doubles than Isaac has, which is the major reason why he’s favored in the final. That being said, Isaac is very strong up and down the board (as evidenced by the over $20,000 average Coryat). Adriana is strongest in Final Jeopardy at this point, and it would not surprise me if Adriana stole at least one victory through a singleton get in Final. Remember, it’s the first to three wins who takes home the $250,000!
The Prediction Model Says: Neilesh 39.826%; Isaac 31.262%; Adriana 28.912%.
Finals Length: 3 games: 11.612%; 4 games: 22.330%; 5 games: 29.507%; 6 games: 24.414%; 7 games: 12.137%.
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Andy! Thanks for this TOC Finals Preview. It will certainly increase my enjoyment.
MasterDoge! Any comments?
This final is, without question, one of the most evenly-matched finals I’ve ever seen in my time watching this show. What makes it so close is that all three players have a different advantage – Isaac is a beast on the raw material and the buzzer, Neilesh has a clear advantage when it comes to Daily Doubles (and nearly matches up with Isaac in terms of knowledge), and Adriana always seems to come through in the clutch in Final Jeopardy. My gut feeling is that Isaac is an incredibly weak favorite (and by incredibly weak, I mean “if you were to run this matchup 1,000 times, he’d win 335 of those iterations”), but anything could happen. I could see one of Adriana, Isaac, and Neilesh absolutely dominating and ending the final in three games; I could see the three of them being completely even and the tournament going the full seven; and I could see anything and everything in between. I’m sure this final is going to be absolutely excellent, so I’m just going to sit back and watch… and maybe I’ll be able to get at least one Final Jeopardy correct and save myself from skunking the entire tournament. 🙂
MasterDoge!
Thanks so much for your analysis and comments!!