2020 College Championship – Semifinalists

We’ve gone from 15 down to 9; it’s time for the semifinals in this year’s College Championship! The semifinals have been announced, which means I can plug the quarterfinal stats into my trusty prediction model and make some predictions which I’m reasonably sure that the tournament contestants will have a good laugh over!

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You can find April 2020’s past J!6 clues here!.

Here you’ll find Matt Carberry’s analysis, updated weekly, of the media markets that this season’s Jeopardy! contestants represent!

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Monday, April 13, 2020:


Tyler Combs on Jeopardy!
Tyler Combs

Senior, Indiana University
Greenfield, Indiana

29 correct, 2 incorrect
2/2 on rebound attempts (on 3 rebound opportunities)
47.37% in first on buzzer (27/57)
1/1 on Daily Doubles (Net Earned: $3,400)
0/1 in Final Jeopardy
Average Coryat: $27,000
Wins SF: 55.421% of the time.
1st: 29.230% of the time.
2nd: 11.240% of the time.
3rd: 14.952% of the time.

Kayla Kalhor on Jeopardy!
Kayla Kalhor

Sophomore, University of Florida
Longwood, Florida

20 correct, 4 incorrect
0/1 on rebound attempts (on 5 rebound opportunities)
36.84% in first on buzzer (21/57)
0/1 on Daily Doubles (Net Earned: -$3,000)
1/1 in Final Jeopardy
Average Coryat: $15,000
Wins SF: 13.402% of the time.
1st: 1.176% of the time.
2nd: 3.503% of the time.
3rd: 8.724% of the time.

Beni Keown on Jeopardy!
Beni Keown

Freshman, Northwestern University
Evanston, Illinois

25 correct, 4 incorrect
1/1 on rebound attempts (on 3 rebound opportunities)
43.86% in first on buzzer (25/57)
0/2 on Daily Doubles (Net Earned: -$6,000)
1/1 in Final Jeopardy
Average Coryat: $20,800
Wins SF: 31.176% of the time.
1st: 8.845% of the time.
2nd: 9.881% of the time.
3rd: 12.450% of the time.
Andy’s Thoughts: The prediction model favors Tyler in this one, who was very dominant in Double Jeopardy! on Friday. Tyler would be even more of a favorite in any other semifinal, but Beni and Kayla should make for a very exciting game. I would expect this game to have the highest Combined Coryat of the three semifinals.

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Tuesday, April 14, 2020:


Joe Coker on Jeopardy!
Joe Coker

Junior, Hendrix College
Conway, Arkansas

18 correct, 2 incorrect
0/0 on rebound attempts (on 3 rebound opportunities)
31.58% in first on buzzer (18/57)
1/1 on Daily Doubles (Net Earned: $5,000)
1/1 in Final Jeopardy
Average Coryat: $11,400
Wins SF: 31.206% of the time.
1st: 5.734% of the time.
2nd: 7.062% of the time.
3rd: 18.409% of the time.

Londyn Lorenz on Jeopardy!
Londyn Lorenz

Sophomore, University of Mississippi
Perryville, Missouri

26 correct, 3 incorrect
1/1 on rebound attempts (on 6 rebound opportunities)
47.37% in first on buzzer (27/57)
0/0 on Daily Doubles
1/1 in Final Jeopardy
Average Coryat: $19,400
Wins SF: 58.949% of the time.
1st: 18.299% of the time.
2nd: 23.765% of the time.
3rd: 16.885% of the time.

Nibir Sarma on Jeopardy!
Nibir Sarma

Sophomore, University of Minnesota
Eden Prairie, Minnesota

17 correct, 2 incorrect
0/0 on rebound attempts (on 3 rebound opportunities)
29.82% in first on buzzer (17/57)
0/1 on Daily Doubles (Net Earned: -$2,500)
1/1 in Final Jeopardy
Average Coryat: $12,200
Wins SF: 9.845% of the time.
1st: 0.326% of the time.
2nd: 2.056% of the time.
3rd: 7.463% of the time.
Andy’s Thoughts: Joe may have had the highest score in the quarterfinals, but Londyn had the better game overall, making her the favorite here to make the finals. Nibir is going to need to catch a break or two in order to make the finals.

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Wednesday, April 15, 2020:


Nathaniel Miller on Jeopardy!
Nathaniel Miller

Sophomore, Yale University
Miami, Florida

27 correct, 3 incorrect
3/3 on rebound attempts (on 5 rebound opportunities)
42.11% in first on buzzer (24/57)
1/2 on Daily Doubles (Net Earned: -$1,200)
1/1 in Final Jeopardy
Average Coryat: $21,800
Wins SF: 91.480% of the time.
1st: 36.048% of the time.
2nd: 40.215% of the time.
3rd: 15.216% of the time.

Marshall Comeaux on Jeopardy!
Marshall Comeaux

Sophomore, University of Texas at Austin
Dallas, Texas

19 correct, 6 incorrect
1/2 on rebound attempts (on 9 rebound opportunities)
35.09% in first on buzzer (20/57)
2/2 on Daily Doubles (Net Earned: $3,000)
1/1 in Final Jeopardy
Average Coryat: $9,400
Wins SF: 4.650% of the time.
1st: 0.223% of the time.
2nd: 1.374% of the time.
3rd: 3.052% of the time.

Xiaoke Ying on Jeopardy!
Xiaoke Ying

Sophomore, University of Southern California
Arcadia, California

11 correct, 1 incorrect
1/1 on rebound attempts (on 4 rebound opportunities)
17.54% in first on buzzer (10/57)
0/0 on Daily Doubles
1/1 in Final Jeopardy
Average Coryat: $6,400
Wins SF: 3.870% of the time.
1st: 0.119% of the time.
2nd: 0.904% of the time.
3rd: 2.848% of the time.
Andy’s Thoughts: Nathaniel was dominant in his quarterfinal, whereas both Marshall and Xiaoke needed Final Jeopardy! in order to advance to the semis. The numbers give Nathaniel a huge advantage here in this third semifinal, which makes him the favorite to win the tournament at this point. His conservative Daily Double play should also play to his advantage here; I can’t see him giving either of his opponents an opening.

Since Alex Trebek’s diagnosis of stage 4 pancreatic cancer, many community members have been raising money. The Jeopardy! Fan Online Store is as well! All proceeds from any “Keep The Faith And We’ll Win” shirt sold will be donated to the Pancreatic Cancer Action Network. To date, nearly $500 has been raised.)


Contestant photo credit: jeopardy.com



3 Comments on "2020 College Championship – Semifinalists"

  1. Andy, while I see the “Wins SF” percentage for each of the 3 contestants combined in each SF round equals 100%, what metric does the breakdown by contestant of “Wins SF” percentage by 1st, 2nd, and 3rd measure?

  2. My guess for 1st, 2nd, and 3rd percentages given is that if you take those numbers and divide by 3 (because of 3 SFs) it represents the models guesstimate of that contestant being 1st, 2nd or 3rd in the finals. Correct or something else?

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