Since the 2015 Tournament of Champions, about 850 Tournament of Champions-eligible players have competed on Jeopardy! (thanks to Matt Carberry for that statistic.)
We are now down to 3: Buzzy Cohen, Alan Lin, and Austin Rogers. Here are their stats and my predictions for the Final.
Thursday, November 16, 2017 & Friday, November 17, 2017:
Los Angeles, California
251 correct, 43 incorrect
36.88% in first on buzzer (246/667)
14/20 on Daily Doubles (Net Earned: $23,600)
8/12 in Final Jeopardy!
Average Coryat: $14,400
QF performance: 21 correct, 3 incorrect, $16,400 Coryat (net +5 low-level clues, net +13 high-level clues)
SF performance: 22 correct, 4 incorrect, $15,400 Coryat (net +8 low-level clues, net +10 high-level clues)
196 correct, 18 incorrect
36.44% in first on buzzer (184/505)
10/14 on Daily Doubles (Net Earned: $19,205)
7/9 in Final Jeopardy
Average Coryat: $16,800
QF performance: 27 correct, 3 incorrect, $20,800 Coryat (net +10 low-level clues, net +14 high-level clues)
SF performance: 19 correct, 1 incorrect, $19,000 Coryat (net +6 low-level clues, net +12 high-level clues)
New York, New York
368 correct, 47 incorrect
40.86% in first on buzzer (344/842)
22/28 on Daily Doubles (Net Earned: $106,100)
14/15 in Final Jeopardy
Average Coryat: $17,133
QF performance: 14 correct, 3 incorrect, $11,400 Coryat (net +8 low-level clues, net +3 high-level clues)
SF performance: 18 correct, 1 incorrect, $9,200 Coryat (net +10 low-level clues, net +7 high-level clues)
Prediction: The odds of Buzzy vs. Austin in the final wouldn’t have been very long, but the fact that the analytics favors neither contestant is, frankly, shocking. Alan Lin has certainly been the player of the tournament so far. He has certainly come to play. But the interesting thing to me is that each player may very well carry an advantage in a different facet of the game, which makes this is very evenly-matched final. Alan has been a beast on the buzzer, Austin always seems to come up huge in Final Jeopardy, and Buzzy just seems to be able to come through in the clutch, no matter who he’s playing against. I would literally say that if you ran this final an infinite number of times, it would converge to each player winning one-third of the time, it is that close. In this specific case? My analytics are cheering for Alan, my heart is cheering for Buzzy, but I just can’t shake the feeling that Austin will somehow manage to pull a rabbit out of a hat and close out the tournament.
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