Jeopardy All-Star Games: Wild Card Match Predictions

Now that the first-round matches are complete, I have adjusted my prediction model to include the net correct responses (correct less incorrect responses) in the first-round matches for each team, and have re-run the model from the wild card game to the end of the tournament.

Wild Card Teams:

Team Buzzy:

Team Buzzy in the 2019 Jeopardy! All-Star Games
To win WC: 50.677% of the time.

1st: 11.844% of the time.
2nd: 13.705% of the time.
3rd: 25.128% of the time.

4th: 35.226% of the time.
5th: 14.097% of the time.
Avg. Position: 3.26.

Andy’s Thoughts: Alex is the strongest player in this match. In a perfect world, Alex will have this game locked by the last Final. If it gets to Final, one of the other two teams has a shot; Buzzy has never really been a fan of Final Jeopardy, and it is definitely Team Buzzy’s Achilles heel. Jennifer played very strongly and should be very game against Leonard and whomever Team Colby puts up. If Alex plays anywhere close to his normal self, it’s obvious that he should be considered the #3 player of all time at the very least.

Team Austin:

Team Austin in the 2019 Jeopardy! All-Star Games
To win WC: 34.019% of the time.

1st: 7.341% of the time.
2nd: 5.461% of the time.
3rd: 21.217% of the time.

4th: 27.108% of the time.
5th: 38.873% of the time.
Avg. Position: 3.847.

Andy’s Thoughts: If Team Buzzy stumbles, Team Austin is strong enough to take advantage. Leonard impressed in his performance, but the question will be: will Austin put himself against Alex, or will Roger play two rounds on the buzzer?

Team Colby:

Team Colby in the 2019 Jeopardy! All-Star Games
To win WC: 15.304% of the time.

1st: 0.947% of the time.
2nd: 2.258% of the time.
3rd: 12.099% of the time.

4th: 37.666% of the time.
5th: 47.030% of the time.
Avg. Position: 4.276.

Andy’s Thoughts: Team Colby already had to play Team Buzzy once; I’m guessing they are not looking forward to playing them again, especially Alex. The prediction model is bearish on their chances here in the Wild Card match.


Finals teams:

Team Brad:

Team Brad in the 2019 Jeopardy! All-Star Games

1st: 27.740% of the time.
2nd: 47.047% of the time.
3rd: 25.213% of the time.
Avg. Position: 1.975.

Andy’s Thoughts: Brad has shown a vulnerability here in the first round, and that will knock his team down a peg, especially if Team Buzzy is the third team in this final. If it’s Ken v Brad v Not-Buzzy, the match will come down to Matt v Larissa.

Team Ken:

Team Ken at the 2019 Jeopardy! All Star Games
1st: 52.128% of the time.
2nd: 31.529% of the time.
3rd: 16.343% of the time.
Avg. Position: 1.642.

Andy’s Thoughts: Team Ken came to play. The very strong performance of both Ken and Matt in the first round makes them the favourite at this point, especially if they are able to keep up their strong performance in the final. Matt v Larissa should be very interesting.

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