Much as with before the wild card round, I have adjusted my prediction model to include the net correct responses (correct less incorrect responses) in the first-round matches and wild-card for each team, and have re-run the model from the wild card game to the end of the tournament.
1st: 4.556% of the time.
2nd: 15.401% of the time.
3rd: 80.043% of the time.
Avg. Position: 2.755.
Andy’s Thoughts: After the 15% shot happened for Team Colby in the Wild-Card game, they move onto the final. While their rating has improved (thanks to Alan’s and Colby’s respective performances), they are massive underdogs here in this final. Will lightning strike twice?
1st: 34.608% of the time.
2nd: 54.008% of the time.
3rd: 11.384% of the time.
Avg. Position: 1.768.
Andy’s Thoughts: Only having to face Ken and not Alex will be very helpful for Brad. That being said, how will Larissa fare against Matt Jackson? The outcome might be dependent upon that, as could a Final Jeopardy on Day 1 in a category not favorable to David.
1st: 60.836% of the time.
2nd: 30.591% of the time.
3rd: 8.573% of the time.
Avg. Position: 1.477.
Andy’s Thoughts: Brad’s performance against Alex has really hurt Brad in the prediction model vis-a-vis Ken, which is why the model has anointed Team Ken as the favorites. Brad is the only human to have consistently had Ken’s number on the buzzer head-to-head, though. If Matt can outplay Larissa and Monica has a better performance in Final than David, then Brad’s buzzer performance may not matter.
So, what will happen? Tune in and find out!
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