Jeopardy All-Star Games: Finals Predictions


Much as with before the wild card round, I have adjusted my prediction model to include the net correct responses (correct less incorrect responses) in the first-round matches and wild-card for each team, and have re-run the model from the wild card game to the end of the tournament.

Team Colby:

Team Colby in the 2019 Jeopardy! All-Star Games
1st: 4.556% of the time.
2nd: 15.401% of the time.
3rd: 80.043% of the time.
Avg. Position: 2.755.

Andy’s Thoughts: After the 15% shot happened for Team Colby in the Wild-Card game, they move onto the final. While their rating has improved (thanks to Alan’s and Colby’s respective performances), they are massive underdogs here in this final. Will lightning strike twice?

Team Brad:

Team Brad in the 2019 Jeopardy! All-Star Games
1st: 34.608% of the time.
2nd: 54.008% of the time.
3rd: 11.384% of the time.
Avg. Position: 1.768.

Andy’s Thoughts: Only having to face Ken and not Alex will be very helpful for Brad. That being said, how will Larissa fare against Matt Jackson? The outcome might be dependent upon that, as could a Final Jeopardy on Day 1 in a category not favorable to David.

Team Ken:

Team Ken at the 2019 Jeopardy! All Star Games
1st: 60.836% of the time.
2nd: 30.591% of the time.
3rd: 8.573% of the time.
Avg. Position: 1.477.

Andy’s Thoughts: Brad’s performance against Alex has really hurt Brad in the prediction model vis-a-vis Ken, which is why the model has anointed Team Ken as the favorites. Brad is the only human to have consistently had Ken’s number on the buzzer head-to-head, though. If Matt can outplay Larissa and Monica has a better performance in Final than David, then Brad’s buzzer performance may not matter.

So, what will happen? Tune in and find out!


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7 Comments on "Jeopardy All-Star Games: Finals Predictions"

  1. Team Colby definitely are immense underdogs here. I think that they are the weakest overall team in the tournament. Now Pam has indicated that she feels uncomfortable playing final jeopardy. In the wildcard game Alan and Colby played final jeopardy. They need their team at the best strategic rotation. Having Colby in a final and not the first round would reduce their chances further. The positive thing for the team is that Jeopardy loves drama and upsets. With a lot of cash to be won or lost in the double jeopardy clues and final jeopardy, upsets and drama are encouraged.

    • All three of those players have always outplayed their numbers in tournaments, though, Jim. That’s one reason why Colby picked them in the first place. Survive and advance.

      • Colby would have been better off taking Larissa instead of Pam. Brad made a steal of a pick taking her 6th. He was right when he said she was flying some what under the radar. She has played fantastically in this tournament.

  2. Jonathan Graham | March 5, 2019 at 12:09 am | Reply

    Will there be a Live Panel any time this week?

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