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2021 Tournament of Champions – Predictions

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Current Champion

Matthew Riggle, career statistics:
47 correct, 6 incorrect
1/1 on rebound attempts (on 4 rebound opportunities)
41.23% in first on buzzer (47/114)
3/3 on Daily Doubles (Net Earned: $7,600)
1/2 in Final Jeopardy
Average Coryat: $21,300

To win:
3 games: 68.027%
4: 46.277%
5: 31.481%
6: 21.415%
7: 14.568%
Avg. streak: 4.128 games.
(Next game: September 14)
(Click Here for Methodology)

Upcoming Encore Presentations

August 20: S42 E103 (January 28, 2026)
August 21: S42 E104 (January 29, 2026)
August 22-23: S41 E142 (March 25, 2025)
August 24: S42 E106 (February 2, 2026)
August 25: S42 E107 (February 3, 2026)
August 26: S42 E108 (February 4, 2026)
August 27: S42 E109 (February 5, 2026)
August 28: S42 E110 (February 6, 2026)
August 29-30: S41 E143 (March 26, 2025)
August 31: S42 E111 (February 9, 2026)
September 1: S42 E112 (February 10, 2026)
September 2: S42 E113 (February 11, 2026)
September 3: S42 E114 (February 12, 2026)
September 4: S42 E115 (February 13, 2026)
September 5-6: S41 E144 (March 27, 2025)
(Source: Bell Fibe TV program guide)

All Time Winnings

All Time Jeopardy! Winnings, Regular Play Only:

1. Ken Jennings $2,520,700
2. James Holzhauer $2,462,216
3. Matt Amodio $1,518,601
4. Amy Schneider $1,382,800
5. Jamie Ding $882,605
6. Cris Pannullo $748,286
7. Mattea Roach $560,983
8. Jason Zuffranieri $532,496
9. Scott Riccardi $455,000
10. David Madden $430,400
11. Julia Collins $428,100
12. Matt Jackson $411,612
13. Austin Rogers $411,000
14. Ray Lalonde $386,400
15. Harrison Whitaker $373,999
16. Adriana Harmeyer $349,600
17. Caleb Groen $346,968
18. Adam Remsen $306,415
19. Ryan Long $299,400
20. Arthur Chu $297,200

All Time Jeopardy! Winnings, Including Tournaments (and Consolation Prizes):

1. Brad Rutter $4,968,436
2. Ken Jennings $4,372,700
3. James Holzhauer $3,614,216
4. Matt Amodio $1,964,601
5. Amy Schneider $1,864,800
6. Yogesh Raut $1,098,403
7. Mattea Roach $897,983
8. Jamie Ding $885,605
9. David Madden $785,733
10. Victoria Groce $773,801
11. Cris Pannullo $754,286
12. Roger Craig $706,200
13. Larissa Kelly $671,930
14. Matt Jackson $623,612
15. Jason Zuffranieri $549,496
16. Andrew He $534,365
17. Scott Riccardi $533,000
18. Jerome Vered $499,102
19. Julia Collins $495,767
20. Austin Rogers $493,000
21. Ben Ingram $449,201
22. Paolo Pasco $448,717
23. Adriana Harmeyer $446,600
24. Buzzy Cohen $441,603
25. Juveria Zaheer $441,000

It is almost time for the two most important weeks of the Jeopardy! calendar: the Tournament of Champions. 15 of the best champions from 2019 and 2020 have returned to compete for a $250,000 top prize. This tournament will be hosted by the 2017 champion, Buzzy Cohen. Now, I’d like to say something: I’ve gotten to know quite a few former champions over my time in this community, and Buzzy is easily one of the nicest people in the Jeopardy! community. I can not wait to watch him live out a dream of his to host the show. It makes me sad to see all of the people badmouthing him in various corners of the Internet; Buzzy is an absolute mensch who is too nice to be deserving of any of that Internet hate.

These predictions have been done using the same model used to predict the outcome of the All-Star Games, the 2019 Tournament of Champions, and the Greatest of All Time matches.

Please note: Percentages may not add up to 100 due to rounding.

Monday, May 17, 2021:

Jason Zuffranieri, 48% to win, 68% to advance, 11% chance to win the tournament

Jason Zuffranieri on Jeopardy!

Ryan Bilger, 40% to win, 64% to advance, 5% chance to win the tournament

Ryan Bilger on Jeopardy!

Sarah Jett Rayburn, 13% to win, 38% to advance, 1% chance to win the tournament

Sarah Jett Rayburn on Jeopardy!

Andy’s Thoughts: Jason might be considered by many to be the favourite to win overall, but Jason’s Achilles heel is definitely Final Jeopardy!; Jason is only 12th of the 15 players in the final round. I like both Jason and Ryan’s chances of advancing out of this first quarterfinal; Sarah has been hit with a very difficult draw in her opening round game; she may need to double up through Final Jeopardy! to have any hope of advancing.

Tuesday, May 18, 2021:

Karen Farrell, 36% to win, 49% to advance, 1% to win the tournament

Karen Farrell on Jeopardy!

Nibir Sarma, 42% to win, 55% to advace, 5% to win the tournament

Nibir Sarma on Jeopardy!

Steve Moulds, 23% to win, 47% to advance, 2% to win the tournament

Steve Moulds on Jeopardy!

Andy’s Thoughts: Nibir played a dominant College Championship final in order to qualify for this tournament. Karen’s work on Daily Doubles wasn’t as strong as many in the tournament as well. If this game gets an easy Final Jeopardy, semifinal spots might come down to who’s bet more aggressively. Steve is very capable of playing well and should perform well, getting his spot in the tournament after the unfortunate death of Brayden Smith in February.

Wednesday, May 19, 2021:

Jennifer Quail, 55% to win, 93% to advance, 28% to win the tournament

Jennifer Quail on Jeopardy!

Paul Trifiletti, 13% to win, 64% to advance, 3% to win the tournament

Paul Trifiletti on Jeopardy!

Ryan Hemmel, 32% to win, 60% to advance, 10% to win the tournament

Ryan Hemmel on Jeopardy!

Andy’s Thoughts: While Jason is slightly stronger in terms of game material in the first two rounds, Jennifer’s going 8-for-9 in Final Jeopardy! makes her the tournament favorite in the eyes of the prediction model. I would be shocked if she didn’t at least make the semifinals. Ryan and Paul are also strong players both with an average-or-better chance to advance into the semifinals.

Thursday, May 20, 2021:

MacKenzie Jones, 44% to win, 62% to advance, 10% to win the tournament

MacKenzie Jones on Jeopardy!

Kevin Walsh, 22% to win, 52% to advance, 2% to win the tournament

Kevin Walsh on Jeopardy!

Ben Henri, 34% to win, 76% to advance, 5% to win the tournament

Ben Henri on Jeopardy!

Andy’s Thoughts: Ben has been through a tournament before; I’m predicting that MacKenzie’s strengths in Final Jeopardy! will carry her farther in the tournament, but that Ben will at least make the semifinals before bowing out, representing his Teacher class well. I’m sure that Kevin would have liked a much easier draw than the one that he got in this game.

Friday, May 21, 2021:

Sam Kavanaugh, 30% to win, 47% to advance, 3% to win the tournament

Sam Kavanaugh on Jeopardy!

Andy Wood, 45% to win, 73% to advance, 11% to win the tournament

Andy Wood on Jeopardy!

Veronica Vichit-Vadakan, 25% to win, 51% to advance, 2% to win the tournament

Veronica Vichit-Vadakan on Jeopardy!

Andy’s Thoughts: There will be fireworks in this last quarterfinal, with both Sam and Andy riding big Daily Double bets in their respective runs. The prediction model thinks that Andy’s skill in Final Jeopardy! will serve him well in this tournament (he’s the only player to be 100% in Final in his regular games.)

Predicted Winners: Jason, Nibir, Jennifer, MacKenzie, Andy
Predicted Wild Cards: Ben, Ryan B., Paul, Ryan H.
Prediected Finals: Jennifer (1st), Andy (2nd), MacKenzie (3rd)

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