Warning: This page contains spoilers for the November 15, 2022, game of Jeopardy! — please do not scroll down if you wish to avoid being spoiled. Please note that the game airs as early as noon Eastern in some U.S. television markets.
Here’s today’s Final Jeopardy (in the category Name’s The Same) for Tuesday, November 15, 2022 (Season 39, Game 47):
Name shared by a Victorian novelist & an 1805 flagship captain whose name is heard in a famous phrase
(correct response beneath the contestants)
Today’s Jeopardy! contestants:
Sam Buttrey, an associate professor of operations research at the Naval Postgraduate School from Pacific Grove, California (0 wins)
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Andrew He, a software developer from San Francisco, California (1 win)
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Amy Schneider, a writer from Oakland, California (0 wins)
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Andy’s Pregame Thoughts:
Andrew He took Game 1 of the Tournament of Champions finals, in spite of being in third place in both attempts and buzzer timing, because he found and converted a pair of True Daily Doubles. If Amy or Sam wants to win this tournament, they need to make adjustments to their own playing style. In Game 1, Amy and Sam went to the board’s top row—where Daily Doubles are incredibly unlikely to be–once apiece in both the Jeopardy! and Double Jeopardy! rounds before the Daily Doubles in those rounds had been found.
I realize that Amy specifically has said in interviews, Don’t play the way Matt wants to play”, and I fear that this is going to be her downfall. The problem is that the way that Matt (or Andrew) wants to play is the most optimal way of playing Jeopardy and that not playing that way is going to give space to opponents to beat you, much like Andrew did in Game 1. Daily Doubles are just too important at this level of play to give your opponents a better chance to find them, and if Andrew keeps finding them, this series will be over in 3 or 4 games.
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(Content continues below)
Correct response: Who is Thomas Hardy?
More information about Final Jeopardy:
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The writing staff has put out another banger of a Final Jeopardy! clue for today’s game. Of the two referred to in the clue, the Victorian author Thomas Hardy is very well-known to most Jeopardy! viewers; he is famous for works such as Tess of the d’Urbervilles, Far from the Madding Crowd, The Mayor of Casterbridge, and Jude the Obscure. However, what makes this clue Tournament of Champions finals-level is that Thomas Hardy was also the name of the captain of the HMS Victory at the famous Battle of Trafalgar in 1805, where the Royal Navy defeated a combined French and Spanish fleet off the southern coast of Spain. While Victorian-era historians attempted to gloss this over by deliberately misrecording the phrase, it is generally accepted that “Kiss me, Hardy”, referring to the captain, was among Admiral Nelson’s dying words.
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Game Recap:
Jeopardy! Round:
(Categories: Zoom Backgrounds Of Historic People; Usa; Facts & Figures; Playing The Hits Of 2022; What Can I Bring In My Carry On?; Jeoportmanteau!)
Amy got off to the best start, but only a half-hearted attempt by Amy and Sam to hunt the Daily Double led to Andrew finding it and doubling up to jump out into a big lead after 30 clues. (This is basically the Jeopardy! equivalent of leaving Alex Ovechkin of the Washington Capitals wide open in the high slot.)
Statistics at the first break (15 clues):
Andrew 5 correct 1 incorrect
Amy 5 correct 0 incorrect
Sam 3 correct 1 incorrect
Statistics after the Jeopardy round:
Andrew 12 correct 1 incorrect
Amy 8 correct 0 incorrect
Sam 7 correct 2 incorrect
Double Jeopardy! Round:
(Categories: First-Time Responses; A Little Peace Of History; Now Streaming On Dumont+; Late 20Th Century Books; Talkin’ Econ; Champion Words)
Amy got to a Daily Double; she did not go all in. Andrew, however, did go all in. This proved to be crucial as Amy’s late-round comeback fell $1,000 short of Andrew. Scores going into Final are Andrew at $23,200, Amy at $22,200, and Sam at $9,400.
Statistics after Double Jeopardy:
Andrew 17 correct 3 incorrect
Amy 20 correct 1 incorrect
Sam 15 correct 3 incorrect
Total number of unplayed clues this season: 12 (0 today).
Final Jeopardy! today was a Triple Stumper—Amy’s small bet means that she wins game #2 (and that the alleged “spoiler” from the Jeopardy! website is not one, as this series is going at least four games! Game 3 is tomorrow!
Tonight’s Game Stats:
Looking to find out who won Jeopardy! today? Here’s the Tuesday, November 15, 2022 Jeopardy! by the numbers:
Scores going into Final:
Andrew $23,200
Amy $22,200
Sam $9,400
Tonight’s results:
Sam $9,400 – $0 = $9,400 (0 wins) (What is Gridley?)
Amy $22,200 – $1,100 = $21,100 (1 win) (What is Nelson?)
Andrew $23,200 – $21,201 = $1,999 (1 win) (What is Gridley?)
Scores after the Jeopardy! Round:
Andrew $9,200
Amy $4,600
Sam $2,200
Opening break taken after: 15 clues
Daily Double locations:
1) FACTS & FIGURES $800 (clue #22)
Andrew 3800 +3800 (Amy 2800 Sam 2600)
2) TALKIN’ ECON $1200 (clue #5)
Amy 6200 +4000 (Andrew 9600 Sam 2600)
3) A LITTLE PEACE OF HISTORY $1200 (clue #12, $22000 left on board)
Andrew 10000 +10000 (Amy 10200 Sam 3400)
Overall Daily Double Efficiency for this game: 265
Average Row of Clue Selection, Before Daily Doubles Found:
Amy 2.70
Sam 2.79
Andrew 4.10
Unplayed clues:
J! Round: None!
DJ! Round: None!
Total Left On Board: $0
Number of clues left unrevealed this season: 12 (0.26 per episode average), 0 Daily Doubles
Game Stats:
Amy $19,400 Coryat, 20 correct, 1 incorrect, 31.58% in first on buzzer (18/57), 2/2 on rebound attempts (on 5 rebound opportunities)
Sam $9,400 Coryat, 15 correct, 3 incorrect, 29.82% in first on buzzer (17/57), 0/1 on rebound attempts (on 4 rebound opportunities)
Andrew $11,400 Coryat, 17 correct, 3 incorrect, 31.58% in first on buzzer (18/57), 0/0 on rebound attempts (on 3 rebound opportunities)
Combined Coryat Score: $40,200
Lach Trash: $8,400 (on 8 Triple Stumpers)
Coryat lost to incorrect responses (less double-correct responses): $5,400
Amy Schneider, career statistics:
1418 correct, 91 incorrect
67/81 on rebound attempts (on 175 rebound opportunities)
51.04% in first on buzzer (1304/2555)
69/79 on Daily Doubles (Net Earned: $219,200)
29/45 in Final Jeopardy
Average Coryat: $25,822
Andrew He, career statistics:
239 correct, 31 incorrect
15/17 on rebound attempts (on 36 rebound opportunities)
39.12% in first on buzzer (223/570)
15/20 on Daily Doubles (Net Earned: $81,000)
4/10 in Final Jeopardy
Average Coryat: $19,000
Sam Buttrey, career statistics:
193 correct, 19 incorrect
11/13 on rebound attempts (on 31 rebound opportunities)
40.35% in first on buzzer (184/456)
5/7 on Daily Doubles (Net Earned: $4,600)
5/8 in Final Jeopardy
Average Coryat: $18,025
Remaining Players’ Tournament of Champions Chances (after 100,000 Simulations)
Amy 46.590%
Andrew 46.041%
Sam 7.369%
Chances of 4 games: 28.491%
Chances of 5 games: 36.869%
Chances of 6 games: 24.285%
Chances of 7 games: 10.355%
Today’s interviews:
Sam is a keyboard player who has written “The Colonoscopy Song” and “Get That Cat Butt Out Of My Face”.
Andrew tried to use an AI chatbot to learn more about classic movies.
Amy got married in May.
Andy’s Thoughts:
- I think that Andrew is comprehensively outplaying Amy through two games, and I think she’s lucky to make it out with a split. There was an overnight taping break between this game and tomorrow’s; I hope Amy is able to regroup before Game 3.
- Today’s box score: November 15, 2022 Box Score.
Final Jeopardy! wagering suggestions:
(Scores: Andrew $23,200 Amy $22,200 Sam $9,400)
Amy: Bet between $2,001 (in case Andrew tries to bet small) and $3,399 (thereby keeping Sam locked out.) (Actual bet: $1,100)
Andrew: Standard cover bet over Amy is $21,201. That being said: You’re up a game in the series, and this might be a very interesting spot to try a Shore’s Conjecture gambit—doing so would be a $2,401 bet and might cause wagering chaos going forward, which might work in your favor. (Actual bet: $21,201)
Sam: If Andrew covers Amy and is incorrect, he falls to $1,999. Limit your bet to $7,399. (Actual bet: $0)
Contestant photo credit: jeopardy.com
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It’s one of those semi multiple choice ones: Who are the heavyweights they would ask about between 1840 and 1900? Eliot, Hardy, Dickens, the Brontes.
Thanks, Andy, for the background stories. Deep cut, indeed.
Ugh :p I couldn’t remember Hardy as the flag captain of the Victory, and I’ve never encountered the quote. That’s like two strikes on the same pitch😅
Current FJ streak: 1L
I think of the joke about the captain who always wears a red shirt while in battle. He wears it so if wounded, his crew won’t see him bleed, and lose morale. One day, going into battle, they see their opponent on the horizon, as they look closer, they realize there is not one ship on the horizon, but TEN…after looking at the overwhelming odds, the captain calls to his cabin boy, “Bring me my brown pants.”
I guessed Nelson. I was pretty much clueless. And Andy, where you say, “Thomas Hardy is very well-known to most Jeopardy! viewers”, well then consider me amongst the minority 🙂
Man, I consider myself a history buff, but “Kiss me, Hardy” never would have occurred to me as a famous phrase. “England expects that every man will do his duty,” sure, but wow. Deep cut.
Gotta say though, I like the Naval Postgraduate School professor’s odds at a clue related to the dying words of the arguably the greatest admiral in history spoken during the most famous naval battle in history.
This FJ seemed like it was in Sam’s wheelhouse.
The win for Amy is good for both her and Sam (more for her, natch), as being down 2 games to Andrew would have meant him being the heavy favorite to win the tournament.
“If Amy or Sam wants to win this tournament, they need to make adjustments to their own playing style.”
I’m not sure I fully agree with that. True, Daily Doubles are going to make a difference here. But had Sam gotten his daily double yesterday, he would’ve won (assuming he didn’t misbet in final). I think Andrew still has a leg up with his Daily Double goals, but I feel these games are still going to be pretty close no matter what.
If you give a player of Andrew’s caliber the best shot at Daily Doubles, that player will use them to beat you.
You have to adapt. You could ask Ken why he won the G.O.A.T. Tournament. If you don’t adapt your strategy it’s likely going to be game over.
Andy,
Thanks for the stat on average row choice before Daily Double selection. Great way to show a statistical basis of game strategy. In DJ, are you weighing the selection period prior to both DD’s over the period of selection between the first and second DD?
Man thomas hardy and his phrase kiss me hardy was something that I knew back in the old days when I was in school. I don’t read much victorian novels but I figured it had something to do with the navy. Still happy to see amy winning this game today. I thought Sam would have gotten this one as he is a professor at the naval postgraduate school.
I guess everyone’s background has an impact. I immediately thought of Nelson’s Flag Captain, not the author…. I am shocked that Sam didn’t get this one….
As a fan of both the Capitals and Alex Ovechkin, I really like Andy’s analogy of leaving Ovie “wide open in the high slot.”
I also really like the addition of the new stat of “Average Row of Clue Selection, Before Daily Doubles Found.” This really adds some new insight into player strategy. Great idea on Andy’s part. Keep up the good work!
Yes, great idea Andy, I like the new stat. About the distribution of DDs, I know they’re never in the top row but are they more likely toward the bottom or equally distributed among rows 2 – 5 or maybe more likely in rows 3 and 4? Any stats on that?
If you scroll down to the bottom of any season listing in J! Archive, you can find Daily Double stats for that respective season. The distribution varies slightly by season, but they gravitate towards the bottom three rows, generally.
Did anyone notice that had Amy gone All-in on FJ, Sam would have won in this Triple Stumper?
Glad to see Andrew get some competition. I agree that Amy and Sam need to be more aggressive in seeking DDs to keep up with him. Strangely, it probably worked to Amy’s advantage in the end to be a little behind Andrew going into FJ. Andrew probably felt he had to cover, which gave Amy the opening to make a small bet and win on the Triple Stumper. If the positions had been reversed, I suspect Andrew would have made a similar small bet and won the round. In fact, that’s exactly what he did to come from behind to beat Jonathan Fisher in his quarterfinal, which also had a Triple Stumper in FJ. But even though it worked out for Amy this time, you still generally prefer to have the lead going into FJ. You don’t want to have to bank on the leader getting FJ wrong, particularly with players of this high quality.
Greetings from Maui!
I think your assessment of the state of play is generally accurate — but “comprehensively” overstates things. Andrew was third on the buzzer in Game 1; we don’t have the Game 2 box score yet, but as far as in first, it was even across the board.
Amy surely will give us her thinking on Twitter. But I wonder if the game plan here is to run Andrew close enough on the signaling device, and take advantage of breaks against Andrew on the Daily Doubles and in Final to prevail over him. No matter now many times basic strategy says to double down, it doesn’t immunize you from the possibility of busting out. I can see why Amy might think such a play workable; but if that’s the strategy, I agree that in the end, it won’t be enough.
Two matches into the GOAT, you said you’d be surprised if Brad won a game. Do you feel the same about Sam at this juncture?
Mahalo and Aloha!
Yeah, I’d say Amy is outplaying Andrew by almost every metric, but is being out-strategized.
Who is this Gridley that BOTH Sam and Andrew gave as a response? I would think for BOTH of them to put that, it must fit at least part of the clue by at least a little bit, but I have no idea and Google doesn’t seem to either (though it does show a few [much more recent] authors named Gridley and perhaps one of them wrote ABOUT Victorian times).
I’d guess they were both going with “You may fire when ready Gridley” as a martial related saying and hoping there was an author Gridley they’d not heard of.
Thank you. Reading about that was interesting, but it sure seems that it doesn’t take much for the Navy to turn into a so-called “famous saying”. It seems odd that Sam wouldn’t have known it to be from 1898, not 1805, but I guess that could fall into the PUT SOMETHING rule even if you are quite sure it is wrong.
They presumably were referring to Charles Vernon Gridley, a US Navy officer during the Civil War and the Spanish–American War.
At his public victory party for the GOAT in Seattle, Ken said with respect to how he’d changed several aspects of his previous strategies “To defeat James, you must stare into the abyss and become James”. This does not mean every player should try to use James’ strategies, but they do seem to be the optimal ones for either very strong players (i.e. your gets on DDs and lower rows need to be very high) or good but not great players going up against a James or similar (i.e. Emma against James).
It doesn’t mean that every player can use James’s strategies successfully, but it is an optimal way of winning the game. To make it a high percentage strategy you have to have sufficient base knowledge that daily doubles are high probability bets. Missing one with that strategy generally leads to a loss.
The Ken/James analogy is apt, but to use his quote as a rule it should be interpreted as “adopt the strategy of whoever your opponent is if it has been working commandingly well for them”. (Obviously, this may not work in regular play because you may not be capable of doing so even if you think you should.)
What does “Average Row of Clue Selection, Before Daily Doubles Found” mean? I can kind of figure it out but would rather have it spelled out.
The row of each clue selected is tracked for each contestant when that contestant has control of the board. For example, Amy started today with a row 1 clue. For each round, the tracking stops when all Daily Doubles in that round are found, and then an average of each player’s selections is taken for the game. The lower the number, the lower the clue value that the player has selected. If it’s too low, a player is much less likely to find a Daily Double, as they’re probably selecting too many first- or second-row clues.
It seemed that Amy and Sam made concerted efforts to go after the higher dollar clues in the lower rows only AFTER Andrew got his big DDs. As a matter of strategy, they need to have that sense of urgency from the beginning of the round in order to increase their (and decrease Andrew’s) chances of getting the DDs.
Especially since they DON’T even HAVE TO risk a big bet if they do land on one. They can bet small and it still accomplishes keeping it out of Andrew’s hands.
Flagship, flag officer, flag captain — all very confusing. Glad I was Army . . .
I had no idea, but I guessed Hardy and was right. That’s two in a row where I used the wording of the clue to infer a logical guess that ended up being correct. I’m surprised that none of the three went from the writer angle first, since it lowers the possibilities far more than the naval angle. Sam doing that makes sense since he’s Navy, but the other two…
I’m surprised at how Amy is making this competitive despite trying to dictate a slower pace. Andrew is showing why he has had a lead over her going into FJ in all three games they’ve played by using that against her. He should be favored significantly going forward and I would be shocked if this goes more than five games. Sam is getting overwhelmed and I attribute that to the match-up – he’s focused on Amy when he should be focused on Andrew. That said, Andrew hasn’t been able to convert the FJ clues, which is his one weakness (yes I’m including the Alexander Hamilton one where he also lost to Amy). There’s already been betting chaos if you ask me…
I don’t understand Sam’s wagering when he’s found a Daily Double, or, in Final Jeopardy. It’s almost like he’s playing not to lose, and, has ended up third both games.
This game’s Final Jeopardy was something that we might have expected Sam to know, but Amy was the closest to having the correct response. Andrew in Final, went almost all in, didn’t work for him this game.
I completely agree with you about “This game’s Final Jeopardy was something that we might have expected Sam to know, but Amy was the closest to having the correct response.” To some people, wrong is just wrong, but the “people knowing A LOT of stuff” (rather than the strategy and the betting and the amount totals following betting) is the most appealing aspect of Jeopardy! to me, so I even admire ‘close’.