I hope everyone’s last week has gone well; here are my Andy’s Weekly Thoughts for this past week!
Next Week’s Games
Just in case people haven’t been paying attention to the TV listings, here’s what we’ll be seeing over the next week:
Monday: Game 6 of the Tournament of Champions final
Tuesday: OAD (Original Air Date) September 12, 2022 (Luigi de Guzman game 2)
Wednesday: OAD September 13, 2022 (Luigi de Guzman game 3)
Thursday: OAD September 21, 2022
Friday: OAD September 30, 2022 (David Sibley game 5; Cris Pannullo game 1).
Where I Expect To See Most Of The Recycled Clues From
With Season 40 starting September 11, it’s no secret that we will be seeing a lot of recycled clues from past seasons—the show has stated as much. However, I expect to see most of the recycled clues from games with unplayed clues in their initial runs. Why? Because if I understand things correctly, the current generation of online simulators generally have only imported clues from games with all 61 clues played. Thus, I would venture that players using those simulators to train are significantly less likely to have seen those clues—and are less likely to gain an advantage in-game.
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Why I Keep Saying Daily Doubles Are So Important
Over the past few months, I have been focusing in my recaps on the importance of making intelligent clue selections to maximize your chances of finding a Daily Double. But why is that? Just finding the Daily Doubles has a positive chance on your chances of winning.
In the 3,561 regular-play games that have taken place since October 4, 2004 (the start of my data set), a player who finds at least 2 of the Daily Doubles wins 53.56% of the time. If you find all 3, you win 71.73% of the time. (That’s much higher than the 33.33% “average”.) Moreover, of these 3,561 episodes, only 603 have been won by someone who has failed to find a Daily Double.
Even if you hate the category that a Daily Double might be in, it’s better to bet small on the Daily Double to take the clue out of your opponents’ hands. One further stat: In Season 39’s regular-play games, contestants were 67.54% on Daily Doubles.
I was hoping to be able to make a personal announcement about a couple of new projects with this, but I am still waiting for clearance to be able to do that! Keep posted to the site over the next week and enjoy the last week of encore presentations!
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