Winter 2025 Champions Wildcard – Preview

Part 2 of the 2025 Jeopardy! postseason begins Monday, with the last two spots in the Tournament of Champions up for grabs. For the first time since 2021, wild cards are at play. When calculating this out over the course of the next week, I’ll be using data from past Teachers and Professors tournaments, as I believe those are the closest in clue difficulty to what we’ll be seeing in Champions Wildcard.

Here are your 15 players:

Monday, January 13

Will Yancey
Banquete, Texas
Will Yancey on Jeopardy!
83 correct, 20 incorrect
5/7 on rebound attempts (on 14 rebound opportunities)
35.96% in first on buzzer (82/228)
8/10 on Daily Doubles (Net Earned: $6,000)
2/4 in Final Jeopardy
Average Coryat: $14,650

34.673% to win quarterfinal
61.438% to advance to semifinal
20.313% to advance to final
6.677% to win Champions Wild Card
13.859% to advance to Tournament of Champions

Will recently advanced out of Week 1 of Second Chance into this event. 
Paul Clauson
Madison Heights, Michigan
Paul Clauson on Jeopardy!
63 correct, 16 incorrect
3/4 on rebound attempts (on 8 rebound opportunities)
39.52% in first on buzzer (66/167)
4/6 on Daily Doubles (Net Earned: $8,800)
0/3 in Final Jeopardy
Average Coryat: $14,333

36.784% to win quarterfinal
57.975% to advance to semifinal
19.759% to advance to final
6.745% to win Champions Wild Card
12.785% to advance to Tournament of Champions

Paul had a pair of runaway victories, but a missed Daily Double and Final Jeopardy in Game 3 sent him to Champions Wild Card. 
Jen Feldman
Brooklyn, New York
Jen Feldman on Jeopardy!
44 correct, 7 incorrect
3/3 on rebound attempts (on 15 rebound opportunities)
24.56% in first on buzzer (42/171)
1/3 on Daily Doubles (Net Earned: -$100)
1/3 in Final Jeopardy
Average Coryat: $11,667

28.543% to win quarterfinal
59.871% to advance to semifinal
17.383% to advance to final
4.679% to win Champions Wild Card
11.459% to advance to Tournament of Champions

The only woman in this field, Jen might need to find her signalling device timing this time around in order to advance into Week 2.

Overall Thoughts: The prediction model thinks that Paul is a slight favorite here in this matchup. I’m expecting to see slightly more conservative play in the quarterfinals, because of the existence of the wild cards into the semis. Interestingly, the prediction model thinks that might work to Jen’s advantage—it thinks Paul has a better chance of winning, but Jen a better chance of advancing overall.


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Tuesday, January 14

Davey Morrison
Provo, Utah
Davey Morrison on Jeopardy!
51 correct, 15 incorrect
2/2 on rebound attempts (on 14 rebound opportunities)
34.94% in first on buzzer (58/166)
2/3 on Daily Doubles (Net Earned: $5,800)
2/3 in Final Jeopardy
Average Coryat: $9,533

30.318% to win quarterfinal
57.358% to advance to semifinal
17.366% to advance to final
4.925% to win Champions Wild Card
11.045% to advance to Tournament of Champions

Davey became a 2-time champion back in July after knocking off ToCer Neilesh Vinjamuri. 
Stevie Ruiz
Montauk, New York
Stevie Ruiz on Jeopardy!
62 correct, 8 incorrect
4/6 on rebound attempts (on 14 rebound opportunities)
35.12% in first on buzzer (59/168)
2/2 on Daily Doubles (Net Earned: $3,000)
1/3 in Final Jeopardy
Average Coryat: $15,800

35.451% to win quarterfinal
61.698% to advance to semifinal
20.368% to advance to final
6.766% to win Champions Wild Card
14.047% to advance to Tournament of Champions

Stevie was the most recent entry into the field, winning his pair of games back in December. One thing that should suit him well, at least in the quarterfinals, is that he was very conservative in Final Jeopardy.
Evan Dorey
Toronto, Ontario, Canada
Evan Dorey on Jeopardy!
41 correct, 5 incorrect
3/4 on rebound attempts (on 7 rebound opportunities)
33.33% in first on buzzer (38/114)
1/2 on Daily Doubles (Net Earned: $0)
1/2 in Final Jeopardy
Average Coryat: $14,800

34.231% to win quarterfinal
62.893% to advance to semifinal
20.277% to advance to final
6.557% to win Champions Wild Card
13.984% to advance to Tournament of Champions

Evan, whose grandfather hails from Newfoundland—I’ll never get tired of pointing that out!—was a 1-day champion whose winnings were high enough to garner entry into the event. 

Overall Thoughts: I think all three players in this game will have various parts of North America cheering for them, and the prediction model does think it’s going to be a generally close battle.

Wednesday, January 15

Drew Goins
Honolulu, Hawaiʻi
Drew Goins on Jeopardy!
88 correct, 11 incorrect
4/5 on rebound attempts (on 15 rebound opportunities)
36.40% in first on buzzer (83/228)
6/7 on Daily Doubles (Net Earned: $20,800)
2/4 in Final Jeopardy
Average Coryat: $16,650

42.900% to win quarterfinal
64.185% to advance to semifinal
25.764% to advance to final
10.759% to win Champions Wild Card
18.231% to advance to Tournament of Champions

After advancing out of Week 2 of Second Chance, Drew is one of the favorites to continue to appear on our television screens. If the dominant performance we saw last Monday comes out again—watch out!
Jay Fisher
Lisle, Illinois
Jay Fisher on Jeopardy!
65 correct, 7 incorrect
7/7 on rebound attempts (on 30 rebound opportunities)
25.44% in first on buzzer (58/228)
2/3 on Daily Doubles (Net Earned: $4,500)
2/4 in Final Jeopardy
Average Coryat: $11,450

30.367% to win quarterfinal
57.955% to advance to semifinal
18.429% to advance to final
5.634% to win Champions Wild Card
11.849% to advance to Tournament of Champions

Jay was the 3-time champion with the lowest winnings and was thus relegated to Champions Wildcard. His first win, though, did end the streak of Isaac Hirsch!
Aiden Orzech
Thornhill, Ontario, Canada
Aiden Orzech on Jeopardy!
61 correct, 14 incorrect
4/4 on rebound attempts (on 12 rebound opportunities)
38.60% in first on buzzer (66/171)
1/2 on Daily Doubles (Net Earned: -$2,000)
2/3 in Final Jeopardy
Average Coryat: $11,400

26.733% to win quarterfinal
56.488% to advance to semifinal
16.338% to advance to final
4.474% to win Champions Wild Card
10.344% to advance to Tournament of Champions

Aiden is the highest-scoring 2-time winner in the field; however, some of that was a result of some overly aggressive Final Jeopardy betting. In a wildcard situation, controlling that might be the key to advancing.

Overall Thoughts: If “strong Drew” shows up to this quarterfinal, we might see both Jay and Aiden departing this event early. If not, things could get interesting. Wildcard considerations might also make Final Jeopardy intriguing.


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Thursday, January 16

Joey DeSena
Raleigh, North Carolina
Joey DeSena on Jeopardy!
53 correct, 15 incorrect
2/4 on rebound attempts (on 11 rebound opportunities)
33.33% in first on buzzer (57/171)
4/4 on Daily Doubles (Net Earned: $11,200)
1/3 in Final Jeopardy
Average Coryat: $11,467

28.741% to win quarterfinal
58.196% to advance to semifinal
18.528% to advance to final
5.668% to win Champions Wild Card
11.772% to advance to Tournament of Champions

Joey won a pair of games back in November before losing in game #3 to Evan Dorey. 
Mehal Shah
Seattle, Washington
Mehal Shah on Jeopardy!
72 correct, 12 incorrect
4/4 on rebound attempts (on 8 rebound opportunities)
42.01% in first on buzzer (71/169)
4/6 on Daily Doubles (Net Earned: $20,800)
0/3 in Final Jeopardy
Average Coryat: $16,667

42.351% to win quarterfinal
63.106% to advance to semifinal
26.350% to advance to final
11.370% to win Champions Wild Card
18.338% to advance to Tournament of Champions

The prediction model had Mehal as a very strong favorite—but this was prior to Drew Goins’s arrival last week. Mehal still has the strongest stats out of everyone, though, picking up an average of 24 correct responses a game. That said—he’s probably going to need to turn his Final Jeopardy statistics around a bit.
Eamonn Campbell
Manchester, Vermont
Eamonn Campbell on Jeopardy!
54 correct, 10 incorrect
4/4 on rebound attempts (on 13 rebound opportunities)
32.16% in first on buzzer (55/171)
1/2 on Daily Doubles (Net Earned: -$400)
2/3 in Final Jeopardy
Average Coryat: $12,667

28.908% to win quarterfinal
61.374% to advance to semifinal
19.892% to advance to final
6.340% to win Champions Wild Card
13.614% to advance to Tournament of Champions

Eamon had some interesting Final Jeopardy strategy during his wins back in October. If he makes it to the semifinals, trailing players might have needed to remember that from any advance scouting they might have done.

Overall Thoughts: The prediction model doesn’t seem to rate Joey and Eamonn as strongly as a few of the other pundits have. It has Mehal as a strong favorite to both win and advance out of this match. 

Friday, January 17

Adam Hersh
Brooklyn, New York
Adam Hersh on Jeopardy!
37 correct, 6 incorrect
4/4 on rebound attempts (on 7 rebound opportunities)
29.82% in first on buzzer (34/114)
2/3 on Daily Doubles (Net Earned: $3,000)
2/2 in Final Jeopardy
Average Coryat: $11,700

34.595% to win quarterfinal
57.520% to advance to semifinal
19.864% to advance to final
6.584% to win Champions Wild Card
12.561% to advance to Tournament of Champions

Adam picked up enough in his win over Mehal back in November to garner an invite to this tournament.
Marko Saric
Chapel Hill, North Carolina
Marko Saric on Jeopardy!
66 correct, 13 incorrect
7/7 on rebound attempts (on 13 rebound opportunities)
38.01% in first on buzzer (65/171)
2/4 on Daily Doubles (Net Earned: -$1,300)
1/3 in Final Jeopardy
Average Coryat: $15,533

36.752% to win quarterfinal
60.837% to advance to semifinal
21.763% to advance to final
7.729% to win Champions Wild Card
14.603% to advance to Tournament of Champions

Marko won his pair of games back in April after knocking off Alison Betts.
Will Weiss
Islip, New York
Will Weiss on Jeopardy!
55 correct, 6 incorrect
4/4 on rebound attempts (on 16 rebound opportunities)
29.82% in first on buzzer (51/171)
1/3 on Daily Doubles (Net Earned: -$1,400)
0/3 in Final Jeopardy
Average Coryat: $15,667

28.653% to win quarterfinal
59.106% to advance to semifinal
17.606% to advance to final
5.093% to win Champions Wild Card
11.509% to advance to Tournament of Champions

Will won a pair of games in the opening week of Season 41, picking up a pair of runaways before a singleton miss from the lead in his third game. He might need a correct response in Final to get through Week 1.

Overall Thoughts: The prediction model does like Marko’s chances of advancing through here, but it does think things will be very tight.


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4 Comments on "Winter 2025 Champions Wildcard – Preview"

  1. Eric Clawson | January 11, 2025 at 12:28 pm |

    Thanks for the preview! I don’t know if I can confidently predict who will advance further in this tournament than others, since all 15 champions have some very similar statistics. Some of them are definitely gonna step up their game from last time though, such as the Second Chance winners did! Which two are going to earn the last spots in the Tournament of Champions?

    Here are my predictions:

    Winning Semifinalists:
    Will Yancey
    Stevie Ruiz
    Drew Goins
    Mehal Shah
    Marko Saric

    Wildcards:
    Paul Clauson
    Evan Dorey
    Aiden Orzech
    Will Weiss

    Finalists:
    Marko Saric
    Will Yancey
    Mehal Shah

    Winner:
    Mehal Shah

    2nd place (also advancing to TOC):
    Will Yancey

  2. Prediction time again! Though this time, I’m gonna have to modify the format a little bit…

    Quarterfinal #1: Paul wins, Will advances via wildcard – Like I said in my predictions for 2024/25 SCC 1, when Will is hot, WILL IS HOT. However, you can just never tell when he’s going to be hot, and that makes me hesitate. Paul is consistently strong, so I have him as the favorite for this match, but I also could definitely see Will advancing. It’s possible that Jen’s more conservative FJ betting could land her a wildcard, but I don’t think that’s very likely.

    Quarterfinal #2: Stevie wins, Davey advances via wildcard – Stevie is one of the strongest players in the entire event based on numbers alone, and I would not be surprised to see him even make a finals run. Davey, however, has definitely gotten the strategy down pretty well – which I think will be enough to save him a wildcard spot.

    Quarterfinal #3: Drew wins – This is one of two matches where I don’t see either non-winner getting a wildcard, and for good reason. If Drew is able to find his rhythm and put up some similar numbers to last Monday… watch out!

    Quarterfinal #4: Mehal wins, both nonwinners advance via wildcard – Both Joey and Eamonn are rather strong, but Mehal is just on another level, especially considering the sheer amount of preparation he’s been doing in the Discord server minileague. I definitely see Joey and Eamonn successfully doubling through Final to claim the third and fourth wild card, though.

    Quarterfinal #5: Marko wins – Aside from his games being against very stiff competition (a ToC player and the player with the highest average Coryat of any player since regular play returned in April), Marko has been doing tons of work in the aforementioned minileague, both playing and hosting. Don’t let his lower seed deceive you – he’s absolutely one of the strongest players in the entire field, and I could definitely see him claiming one of the two ToC spots.

    I’d be lying if I said I agreed with the format change, but nothing I can really do… so I’ll just sit back and enjoy the ride while it lasts 🙂

  3. MasterDoge!

    Now that we know the 9 players moving foward, any chance you might write up your ideas for the semifinals and finals?

Comments are closed.