Week In Review (April 10-14, 2017)

Game Recaps:
Monday, April 10 (AMERICAN AUTHORS)
Tuesday, April 11 (AMERICANA)
Wednesday, April 12 (SCARY MOVIES)
Thursday, April 13 (INTERNATIONAL SYMBOLS)
Friday, April 14 (COUNTRIES OF THE WORLD)

This Week’s Winners:
Greg Chin (2 days, $37,599)
Jane Joseph (1 day, $17,402)
Deborah Beams (2 days, $23,300)

Unplayed Clues (15):
Monday (2): LET’S VISIT DOMINICA $400 & $800
Tuesday (5): THERE’S A FLY $200 & $400, IN MY SOUP $200; WINDOW TREATMENTS $400 & $2000
Wednesday (2): HAPPY 70th, DAVID LETTERMAN $200 & $1000
Thursday (3): “B” MY LOVE $1000; HER TOP 40 BAND $400 & $800
Friday (3): FENCING $2000, LITERARY CHICAGO $2000, HIDDEN GENIUS $2000

Daily Doubles & Final Jeopardy:
Monday: 2/3 on Daily Doubles, 1/3 in Final Jeopardy
Tuesday: 1/3 on Daily Doubles, 2/3 in Final Jeopardy
Wednesday: 2/3 on Daily Doubles, 1/3 in Final Jeopardy
Thursday: 2/3 on Daily Doubles, 2/3 in Final Jeopardy
Friday: 2/3 on Daily Doubles, 0/3 in Final Jeopardy
Weekly Total: 9/15 on Daily Doubles, 6/15 in Final Jeopardy
Season To Date (regular play): 250/400 (62.50%) on Daily Doubles, 174/393 (44.27%) in Final Jeopardy

Average Win To Date, Season 33: $18,271.49

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Weekly Combined Coryats, Lach Trash, $ Left On Board:

Stat of the Week: Current ToC Tracker Top 16, Aggregate Coryat Score
(Regular play rank in parentheses, X sigifies a tournament champion)
Seth Wilson (1), $235,000
Buzzy Cohen (2), $141,000
Andrew Pau (4), $139,600
Pranjal Vachaspati (7), $119,400
Hunter Appler (5), $115,800
Tim Kutz (9), $107,800
Lisa Schlitt (6), $102,600
Tim Aten (3), $97,200
Rob Liguori (11), $80,000
Cindy Stowell (8), $78,600
Justin Bender (13), $76,000
Jason Sterlacci (X), $75,400
Todd Giese (10), $69,000
Fred Vaughn (12), $69,000
Lilly Chin (X), $66,400
Sam Deutsch (X), $44,800

Player Statistics:
Pat Greiner, final stats:
35 correct
7 incorrect
1/3 on Daily Doubles (Net Earned: -$4,500)
2/2 in Final Jeopardy
26.79% in first on buzzer (30/112)
Average Coryat: $10,200

Greg Chin, final stats:
63 correct
13 incorrect
1/2 on Daily Doubles (Net Earned: $0)
1/3 in Final Jeopardy
42.59% in first on buzzer (69/162)
Average Coryat: $15,666

Jane Joseph, final stats:
27 correct
4 incorrect
2/3 on Daily Doubles (Net Earned: $2,000)
1/2 in Final Jeopardy
19.27% in first on buzzer (21/109)
Average Coryat: $11,800

Deborah Beams, stats to date:
29 correct
9 incorrect
2/3 on Daily Doubles (Net Earned: $4,800)
1/2 in Final Jeopardy
28.70% in first on buzzer (31/108)
Average Coryat: $7,600

Deborah Beams, to win:
3 games: 21.45%
4: 4.60%
5: 0.99%
6: 0.21%
7: 0.05%
Avg. streak: 2.273 games.
Avg. Total Winnings (including possible ToC): $31,357

Tournament of Champions projections:
With a projected 85 regular-play games to go prior to the Tournament of Champions cutoff, after 250,000 simulations, our model shows:
An average of 3.1226 5+-time champions (standard deviation 1.3692).
An average of 4.8422 4+-time champions (standard deviation 1.6727).

An early cutoff took place 15.351% of the time (or a 5-game winner will be left out).

Deborah Beams qualified 3.181% of the time.
Tim Kutz qualified 59.800% of the time.
Todd Giese qualified 19.741% of the time.
Rob Liguori qualified 4.132% of the time.
Fred Vaughn qualified 0.739% of the time.

(Note: Due to the possibility of a WGA strike, I feel that it is more accurate for ToC projections to add 20 games to the end of the previous projected qualifying period.)

Deborah Beams’ next game: April 17

Next Week: Season 33, Week 32

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